PACES: From Deterrence to Credible Choice: Rethinking Migration Policy at Origin

Why do people migrate, despite knowing the risks? Drawing on research in Algeria, Ethiopia, and Nigeria, this PACES policy brief challenges the assumption that irregular migration is driven by a lack of information. Instead, it shows that migration decisions are shaped by social norms, household dynamics, gendered expectations, life-stage pressures, and the perceived credibility of available opportunities. The brief argues that policies focused solely on deterrence and risk awareness are unlikely to influence those most determined to move. Rather than trying to discourage migration through information campaigns, it calls for approaches that expand safe, regular, and credible mobility options, support informed decision-making, and measure success through agency, safety, and equity. Read the policy brief here